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Your result: This is complex, so you should speak to an expert

Your initiative shows real potential and we recommend you carry out a full evaluation. However, your initiative is complex so requires a suitable evaluation design to work. Because of this, we believe that you would benefit from sitting down with an expert to help clarify the details of your initiative. In the meantime, here’s some targeted advice split into sections to help you plan and conduct your evaluation.

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Before you start

Before starting work:

Once you have completed these steps, you can get the advice from an external expert who can potentially commission additional support. Head here for more details.

Defining your service

Your expert will help you determine what design is most appropriate. However, before you meet them, start by answering some basic questions using the PICO framework:

Your expert might have expertise in and suggest more advanced evaluation designs such as:

Difference-in-Differences (DiD), Regression-based

This compares the changes in outcomes over time between a group that received your initiative and a similar group that did not. This helps to mitigate for external factors.

Interrupted Time Series

This examines the trends in outcomes over time, identifying any interruptions or changes that coincide with your initiative’s implementation.

Cost-Benefit or Cost-Utility Analysis

This helps you assess the financial and practical benefits of the initiative relative to its costs, providing a comprehensive view of its economic impact.

Data explained: Qualitative data

Qualitative data is non-numerical data that is observed and described. It can be sourced by conducting interviews at the start and end of your initiative:

Data explained: Quantitative data

Discuss your quantitative methods with the expert to ensure any data collection is robust and well-designed. Here are some approaches the expert may recommend:

Custom surveys with power calculations

This helps you to collect quantitative data on key outcomes, using power calculations to determine the appropriate sample size needed to detect meaningful differences or changes. Use these online calculation tools to get started.

Virtual control groups

This method helps estimate what would have happened if your initiative hadn’t occurred, providing you with a ‘what-if’ scenario for comparison – even without a real-world control group.

Predictive modelling

This uses statistical techniques to forecast future outcomes based on current and historical data. This approach helps to identify potential impacts and areas for improvement, helping to enhance your overall evaluation.

Metrics to use

What metrics you should collect will depend on the key questions you are trying to answer and what the output of your evaluation is:

Make sure to capture the following minimum set of metrics:

For more information, view our page on determining what you want to measure.

Key takeaways

Here’s a quick overview of the different tasks that you’ll need to carry out to ensure evaluation success:

Planning and design

Evaluation designs

Data collection

Metrics

Contact us

If you have any queries about our guidance or recommendations, please reach out to us.